Projection: how will the 2010 season-ending rankings look on the WTA Tour?

Our reader Milano predicted the year-end WTA singles rankings in the comments of this blog and I decided to make a post out of those comments so that more people get to see Milano's thorough prognosis. Feel free to add your view of the rankings below in the comments section.

WTA Singles Rankings


The only one who can eventually take No.1 ranking from Caroline Wozniacki is Vera Zvonareva. That will happen only if Wozniacki doesn't gain any points at the Sony Ericsson Championships in Doha and Zvonareva wins the whole thing without losing a single match. Chances are quite minimal, of course.

When Serena Williams' Doha points fall off she will be No. 5 by default, but if other players behind (Jelena Jankovic, Francesca Schiavone, Samantha Stosur) do really well in Doha, she could fall as low as No. 8, or even No.9 if Elena Dementieva suddenly wakes up and reaches semifinals at least. But these are big if's.

I think that Kim Clijsters and Francesca Schiavone have the best chance to move up the rankings. I think we will watch an interesting battle for No. 2 year-end spot between Zvonareva and Clijsters (or even Schiavone).

Stosur needs to win (just) two matches to reach No. 6 in the world. Jankovic and Stosur are in terrible form, so I don't think they will do any good out there with top players. Jankovic lost at the Kremlin Cup to No. 268, Zarina Diyas 6-1 6-2, she is feeling ill, she is going to have an eye surgery by the end of the season. I'd say she is the weakest Doha player right now.

Venus Williams will have around 5000 points by the end of the year, just like her sister (Serena will have around 5100). Schiavone has 5035 points now but she will automatically gain 210, even if she loses all three of her round robin matches in Doha. That means that both Williamses will be ranked No.5 or lower by the end of the year, with Serena in front of Venus.

The latest qualifier Victoria Azarenka will have to do something really big to make a move up the rankings.

Wozniacki keeps on winning, beats Zvonareva for China Open title

Caroline Wozniacki wins China Open

Never before had Caroline Wozniacki won a match at either the Tokyo or Beijing tournament, but this year the Dane won both in back-to-back weeks, earning the No.1 ranking on the way.

The final of the China Open in Beijing was postponed to Monday due to rain and top-seeded Wozniacki continued to consolidate her new top ranking by defeating the new No.3 and US Open and Wimbledon finalist Vera Zvonareva 6-3 3-6 6-3. One break in the beginning of the deciding set gave Wozniacki a 2-0 lead and she held her serve and didn’t even give Zvonareva break opportunities until the winner’s trophy was hers. The China Open title earned Wozniacki 1000 points, as well as $775,500, which means she’s earned more than a million in prize money in two weeks.

The 20-year-old Wozniacki doesn’t seem afraid of success: "Everything is working for me at the moment. I've got to believe I can beat anyone. I feel in great shape and now I'm really looking forward to Doha."

Wozniacki has now won six Sony Ericsson WTA Tour singles titles in 2010 and is the leader in the number of titles this season. Kim Clijsters follows her with four titles. Wozniacki is also leading other players in the number of matches won this season with 59. (source: Sony Ericsson WTA Tour)

Caroline Wozniacki scores first victory as future No.1 against Ana Ivanovic

Caroline WozniackiLuckily for Caroline Wozniacki, who is to become No.1-ranked WTA player on Monday, she didn't lose her first match since it became known she would replace Serena Williams on the top of the rankings, but rather confirmed her status, disputable as a lot of tennis fans would say, by beating former world No.1 Ana Ivanovic in the quarterfinals of the China Open. In the previous round Ivanovic managed to stay on track and defeat seventh seed Elena Dementieva after two tiebreaks.

In the quarterfinal against Ivanovic, Wozniacki took just three of 11 break point chances and, after winning a closely-fought first set, survived the Serb's late charge in the second set when she bettered her score from 5-2 down to 5-4 down. Even though Wozniacki pulled off the 7-6(1) 6-4 victory, there is place for concern about her health – she twisted her knee in the second set which left her motionless on the floor for a few moments.

Wozniacki's opponent in the semifinals will be No.16 seed Shahar Peer who defeated Timea Bacsinszky in the quarterfinals 7-6(4) 6-4. The other semifinal match will feature second seed Vera Zvonareva and home favorite Li Na. Zvonareva advanced with a 6-0 6-2 win over fifth-seeded Francesca Schiavone, while Li defeated Anastasija Sevastova 7-6(6) 6-3. The quarterfinal win in Beijing was Zvonareva's 45th win this season, and will ascend her to a career-high of No.3 in the new rankings on Monday. (photo: Ralf Reinecke)

Women's tennis gets new number one – Caroline Wozniacki

Caroline WozniackiAs of today it's certain that women's tennis will have a brand new world number one player when the rankings are refreshed on Monday, October 11th. As you must already know, it will be 20-year-old Caroline Wozniacki from Denmark.

The moment has been anticipated for a long time because of Wozniacki's consistency, and especially after she won the Tokyo tournament last week, when it became a fact that she would reach the top of the rankings if she advances to the quarterfinals of the following event in Beijing. Well, that's exactly what happened – Wozniacki beat Petra Kvitova 6-3 6-2 in the third round of the China Open, earning her impressive 56th match win in 2010.

Wozniacki, who started her professional career in 2005, will become the 20th player in the history of women's tennis to reach the top position in the rankings and will end Serena Williams' reign over the number one spot which will have lasted for 49 weeks, since November 2nd, 2009. The Dane has won 11 WTA singles titles, including five this season, and played the final of the 2009 US Open.

In the quarterfinals of the China Open Wozniacki will play former world number one Ana Ivanovic who won two tiebreaks to overcome seventh seed Elena Dementieva 7-6(2) 7-6(4). The two-set match featured a pair of tiebreaks even though Ivanovic served for the first set at 5-3, and even though Dementieva had a set point at 5-4 in the second set. (photo: Ralf Reinecke)

Caroline Wozniacki needs just one win to become No.1

Caroline Wozniacki

Caroline Wozniacki beat Sara Errani 6-4 6-2 in the second round of the China Open and if she wins her third round match against Petra Kvitova she will become the first Danish player to reach the No.1 ranking. By overtaking Serena Williams at the top position, Wozniacki would become the 20th WTA player ever to raise to the highest spot in the rankings.

Wozniacki and Kvitova have faced each other three times, but never on hardcourts. The 35th-ranked Czech allowed Wozniacki to win only two games in their last meeting, this year on Wimbledon grass.

The victory over Errani was the world No.2 Wozniacki’s first win at the China Open in four attempts, and let’s see if she’ll pull off the crucial second one. (photo: Ralf Reinecke)

Caroline Wozniacki wins fifth title of the season in Tokyo

Caroline Wozniacki beats Elena Dementieva to win Toray Pan Pacific Open 2010

Caroline Wozniacki had been sharing the top position of 2010 WTA titles with Kim Clijsters, but with the victory over Elena Dementieva in the final of the Toray Pan Pacific Open the Dane became the only leader with five WTA titles this season. Prior to this year, Wozniacki had never won a match at the Tokyo tournament.

Caroline Wozniacki wins 2010 Toray Pan Pacific Open

The top-seeded Wozniacki lost only seven games en route to the semifinals in Tokyo, but her last two matches were three-setters – a close 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 victory over Victoria Azarenka in the semis and a survival of the tough first set loss to defeat Dementieva 1-6 6-2 6-3 in the final. The win at the Toray Pan Pacific Open added $350,000 to the $2,115,988 Wozniacki has earned in 2010.

Not only is world No.2 Wozniacki the Tour leader in the number of titles this season, she’s also the leader in both the number of finals played (she played six finals and lost only one at Indian Wells) and the number of matches won (54 matches). (photos via Toray Pan Pacific Open)

Caroline Wozniacki, Elena Dementieva into Tokyo final

Caroline WozniackiElena Dementieva

Caroline Wozniacki is closing in on the No.1 ranking by reaching the final of the $2 million Toray Pan Pacific Open in Tokyo where she will face Elena Dementieva.

The top-seeded Wozniacki advanced to the final with a 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4 victory over Victoria Azarenka, No.8 seed. Wozniacki stormed through the first set, before losing the second set which featured eight breaks of serve. In the final set, the second-ranked Dane won five straight games for a 5-0 lead, but Azarenka managed to take the score to 5-4, winning 16 of 19 points. However, Wozniacki held serve in the sixth game and won the match of the young stars.

The other semifinal was seventh-seeded Elena Dementieva vs. fifth-seeded Francesca Schiavone. Dementieva won the match 6-4 7-5 even though she started it by winning only two of the first ten points.

Wozniacki and Dementieva are tied at 3-3 in their head-to-head record. However, Wozniacki won three of their last four meetings, including a close semifinal this year en route to New Haven title. (photo: © Neal Trousdale)

Wozniacki advances to Tokyo semifinals as Radwanska retires

Caroline WozniackiTop seed Caroline Wozniacki had a very short quarterfinal as sixth seed Agnieszka Radwanska retired with left foot injury after 29 minutes at 5-0 down. Wozniacki was trailing by the same score against Aleksandra Wozniak last year in the second round of Tokyo and had to retire with a viral infection.

The 20-year-old Wozniacki could rise from No.2 to No.1 in the rankings for the first time if she wins the Toray Pan Pacific Open and reaches the quarterfinals of the next week’s China Open in Beijing.

The Dane's opponent in the semifinals will be No.8 seed Victoria Azarenka, who ended the successful run of qualifier Coco Vandeweghe 6-2 6-1.

The other semifinal pair includes fifth seed Francesca Schiavone and seventh seed Elena Dementieva. The Italian defeated Kaia Kanepi 7-5 4-6 7-5 in the quarters, the Russian beat compatriot and No.2 seed Vera Zvonareva 7-5 6-2. (photo: Ralf Reinecke)


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